Dr. BG Imre Porkoláb, liaison officer of NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander Transformation (SACT) in the Pentagon and an expert on guerrilla warfare and counterterrorism held a lecture at the Faculty of Military Science and Officer Training at NUPS on 4 February 2016.
In his presentation titled “NATO integration: the impact of future security challenges and the changes of warfare on the capacity-development of NATO”, Brigadier General Porkoláb emphasized that the already noticeable and comprehensive challenges demand continuous future-analysis. This task was initiated after the Chicago Summit in 2012 and is projected until 2030.
The speaker also reminded about the importance of developing military capabilities and outlined its 10 different areas. Regarding strategic thinking, Brigadier General Porkoláb highlighted the definition of resilience which contains the correlation between robustness, fragility, re-construction and constancy. As for foresight, he referred to the risks arising from urbanization (with nearly 2,5 billion people living in large cities, 90% of which located on the seaside), to the issues of global reconnaissance (using inter alia drones), and to hybrid warfare gaining ground in the changes in the nature of warfare.
From the perspective of leadership, Brigadier General Porkoláb explained Clausewitz’s definition that war is the conflict of human wills. As for the future, the speaker mentioned adult education, cognitive dominance and technology as the main factors of a good leader. He emphasized how differently young people think about leadership, as highlighted by researches. The speaker also pointed out that nearly 40% of leaders actually have an impact on their subordinates, whereas 20% explicitly halters the organizational operation and 30% being devoted and supportive of operation.
Brigadier General Porkoláb highlighted on the fact that – due to the achievements in microelectronics, telecommunications, and the production of synthetic materials – weapons have also become subjects of science. Artificial intelligence or “human-machine collaboration” also belongs to this area. As a result of this process, today the traditional linear combat has been replaced by combat utilizing variable electronic systems.